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Overall dam levels since November 2001
This figure shows the data since November 2001 for overall dam levels.
CSV of raw data format is: year, month, day, dayofyear, Bulk water supply (usage), Available storage,temperature,rainfall. From SCA website.
You can see this in more detail in the year-by-year figure below.
This figure shows the overall dam levels for the last few years. Each line represents how full the
dams are for that year.
What about inflow versus outflow?
The reason a dam's level drops is that more water is used (outflow) than flows in (inflow).
The following figure shows cumulative outflow versus cumulative inflow for the entire system, measured
daily since November 2001.
In that time the overall usage is 5349.39
GL, whilst the cumulative
inflow is 5613.89
GL (note that the overall capacity of the system is
a little under 2400 GL).
Note that when measuring inflow, this is net inflow (after evaporation is taken into account). This is why net natural inflow
can sometimes be negative. You can see that although inflow has not equaled outflow, it is still significant. This is why rainwater
tanks in Sydney are still valuable in drought conditions.
Day by day, however, the inflow to the dams is not very consistent. The following figure shows the daily usage and
daily inflow since November 2001. From the usage we can see that the summers of 2001/2 and 2002/3 had
high usage, and otherwise there is a slight downward trend on water usage, presumably due to water restrictions,
water saving devices and general water consciousness on the part of consumers.
A version of this figure with a one-year rolling average is presented here.
Once again these aspects are shown more clearly when we look at the data year by year.
The general trend of each year to consume less water than the previous year is quite obvious.
How do rain and temperature affect water usage?
We have already seen the effects of the 2001/2 and 2002/3 summers on water use. What about the effects of
rain and temperature on daily consumption?
The following graphical representation shows water usage versus Sydney rainfall on the previous day.
On low rainfall times the usage is dependent on various factors, but when rainfall is high, the
water use is quite consistently low. The really wet day (130+mm) that was of average usage was in 2002
just prior when strict water restrictions came into operation.
Temperature also has an effect on water usage. This graphical representation shows that low temperatures mean low water usage.
High temperatures do not guarantee high water usage, as rain can also occur as a thunderstorm on
the afternoon of a hot day.
What effect would a change in our water usage have on dam levels?
The following table and graph examine what the current dam levels would be under various alternative water use scenarios.
For example what would have happened if we had been using
more water since November 2001, for example with no water restrictions or a higher population?
Or what would have happened if we had been using less water in that time? For example, if everyone had rainwater tanks for
their irrigation and hand watering of their gardens, usage would probably drop around 20%.
| Hypothetical usage since 11.2001 | Available water | % full all dams | 1 year change GL(%) |
| 20% More | 1430.6 | 55.41 |
501.24 (19.41) |
| As is | 2500.5
| 96.85 |
583.00 (22.58) |
| 20% Less | 2551.8 | 98.84 |
-20.38 (-0.79) |
| 50% Less | 2553.2 | 98.89 |
-28.03 (-1.09) |
These calculations are just on figures since November 2001. If we had been using less water since the dams were last full in 1998
then dam levels would be even higher!
What effect would a desalination plant have on our dam levels?
The government has built a desalination plant.
If an additional 500ML desalination plant had been in place and operating since November 2001, a significant difference in our dam levels would be noticeable,
as the following data indicate.
Desalination plants do use a lot of electricity. One way to reduce the electricity load is to only turn on the desalination
plant whenever the water level drops below 50%. We have also included this possibility in our figures and table below.
| Hypothetical since 11.2001 | Available water (GL) | % full all dams | 1year change GL(%) |
| As is | 2500.5
| 96.85 |
583.00 (22.58) |
| 100 ML/day | 2551.25
| 98.81 |
289.65 (11.22) |
| 500 ML/day | 2552.85
| 98.88 |
-28.00 (-1.08) |
| 500 ML/day when levels < 50% | 2826
| 109.46 |
583.00 (22.58) |
The 500ML/day option appears to be able to hold the dam levels close to steady under drought conditions, hence may only
need to be operated when dam levels are low. A 100ML/day plant would need to operate continuously to have much effect. Hence, should
rainfall conditions return to the 1960-2000 average and usage not increase much, the 500 ML/day plant may use significantly less
electricity overall as it could be turned off most of the time! In other words, as the dams (historically) often vary between 80% and
100% full, a 100ML/day plant may waste energy delivering water when the dams may soon fill, while not providing sufficient water
should the dams fall below 50%. Of course, if the recent extended dry spell is more permanent, then the 500ML/day plant would be
required (given current usage) to maintain Sydney's water supply.
What effect would the Shoalhaven Transfer scheme have on our dam levels?
A scheme has been announced in which flows from the
Shoalhaven Scheme to Sydney would be increased. The basic idea is that the Shoalhaven catchment is rather large and close to
the coast (hence inflows are large) and Tallowa Dam often overflows, even
under drought conditions (link provides graphs and stats on Tallowa Dam).
If this had been in place and operating since November 2001, a significant difference in our dam levels would be noticeable,
as the following data indicate. We also examine the combination of such a scheme and a 500ML/day desalination plant.
Note that we have estimated the effect of the stage 1 and 2 Shoalhaven scheme by 80,110 GL/year respectively. The actual net gain of
water in Sydney's dams is much harder to calculate as it concerns the amount of water which currently overflows from Tallowa that
would otherwise have been captured. As noted above, in the past few years of drought conditions, Tallowa has still often overflowed and hence this scheme would have helped in this drought.
| Hypothetical since 11.2001 | Available water (GL) | % full all dams | 1year change GL(%) |
| As is | 2500.5
| 96.85 |
583.00 (22.58) |
| Stage 1 | 3333.8
| 129.12 |
662.72 (25.67) |
| Stage 2 | 3645.8
| 141.21 |
692.56 (26.82) |
| Stage 2 + desal | 2554.05
| 98.92 |
-27.80 (-1.08) |
If Stage 2 of the Shoalhaven transfer scheme were in place in late 2001, as well as a 500 ML/day desalination plant (both in full use) then
the dams would be sufficiently full that there would be not even a thought of a dam level problem. Even without a desalination plant,
this proposed scheme would have had a big impact on our dam levels.
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